Unadulterated Arrogance

Friday, January 14, 2005

Tsunami - Malthus, Business and fraud

My heartfelt condolences and prayers for those affected by the Tsunami. It has had a crippling effect on the Asia-Pacific region. But to be brutally honest, my first cogitations on the issue were far from grief and empathy. My foremost thoughts were apportioned between The Malthusian Theory of Population, Business and Fraud.

  • Thomas Robert Malthus in his essay,'The principles of population growth',states that;
    * Food production increased at an arithmetic ratio while population increased at an exponential ratio
    * Population growth would outstrip food supply, and mass starvation would follow. 
    * Man is incapable of controlling his own numbers, so natural calamities such as floods and epidemics serve to control/reduce his numbers.

    The Tsunami that occurred; was it just one of the vagaries of mother nature or was it the justification of Thomas Malthus's population theory. If one were to look deeper, you would realize that those places that were affected the most were areas where measures for population check were not in place. These were areas where the birth rates were much higher than the death rates, these were places were population growth outstripped food supply and hence I am rather sceptical that the tsunami was just one of the caprices of weather.

  •  I concede, its my materialistic self thats in the drivers seat as I post this but the fact of the matter is that the Tsunami equates to good business. Only a few industries in the Asia-Pacific region, including tourism, are expected to suffer short-term adverse effects, while others, such as construction, could actually enjoy long term benefits. So the economic effects of the tsunami in the long term scenario is positive.
  • The tsunami, if one were to look it from the security perspective is very alarming. There are many tsunami scams on the net already but rather than scams I more concerned about the physical security breaches that might occur on account of terrorist identity thieves. The waves pretty much washed away all documents pertaining to identity a la passports et al, thousands of dead bodies have not been identifiable which makes for a hotbed for terrorist who would love to make use of this misfortune to steal another identity and blend into the surroundings waiting for an opportune moment to strike. The terrorists in the Indonesian belt of Aceh is the most worrysome in this regard.

Thousands of lives lost and a many more displaced, I can only empathise with those who lost everything and everyone. Boxing day 2004 will always be remembered for the wrong reasons.The images from the Tsunami are very gruesome and though I am able to have a pragmatic approach to the same as neither me nor anyone close to me is affected, I ponder how I would have coped had I been not so fortunate.


  • Don't shed croc tears over something you feel nothing for...what a jerk!

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 1/15/2005 03:14:00 AM  

  • I was just being honest rather than putting up a facade unlike the rest of the world, for one to really feel the pain you have to be affected others no matter how much you claim can never empathise with those souls.. you can only claim to be so... the tsuanami is an outlet for the western world to dump their used clothes..thats it.. there are however a few courageous souls who have left everything for the cause of the people affected... if you are one of those anon, my sincerest apologies and my kudos to your selfless act; if not you are a big hypocritical jerk yourself.

    By Blogger injinuity, at 1/15/2005 03:53:00 AM  

  • Another theory, of course, would be that unchecked population growth is a function of societies that live where Nature is likeliest to thin out the numbers on a regular basis...

    Which wouldn't include our decadent western societies, where population growth is more prevalent among recent immigrants (who come, of course, from areas where natural disasters are more frequent).

    Just a thought.

    By Blogger Jennifer, at 1/16/2005 04:09:00 AM  

  • Am a right in saying your "scientific opinion" is that, an increase in population can result in plate movement?

    Although the tourism industry has been severely damaged, this is not the greatest consequence of the tsunami. Economically speaking the population of developing world countries bears no relation to the actual economics of its people. If you study the effect on the PEOPLE of these countries you may notice that a rather more significant proportion of people rely on the fishing industry for basic survival. This has been decimated. You may not consider this economically important. But your distance from this disaster should not negate your humanity.


    By Blogger dav, at 1/16/2005 12:02:00 PM  

  • Oh c'mon Dav, you make me out to be some inhumane monster which I certainly am not..I have personally given money to some of my sri lankan workers who have been affected by the same.. .but that does not mean that I will not try to make the most out of this disaster.... it has anyways happened..brooding about it will not help... so if you can take advantage of the situation so be it... time to invest in some Australian and Indian construction companies

    By Blogger injinuity, at 1/16/2005 12:11:00 PM  

  • Fair enough, thats just where we differ. Capitalism is a double edged sword, thankfully we are on the lighter side. Pity the rest, eh?

    By Blogger dav, at 1/16/2005 12:27:00 PM  

  • I am the ultimate Right wing capitalist with a consience dav, you my friend are a liberal....and to each his own I say.

    By Blogger injinuity, at 1/16/2005 12:34:00 PM  

  • I think "Right wing capitalist" and having a "conscience" are conflicting ideoligies.


    1. [n] a person who favors a political philosophy of progress and reform and the protection of civil liberties
    2. [n] a person who favors an economic theory of laissez-faire and self-regulating markets
    3. [adj] tolerant of change; not bound by authoritarianism, orthodoxy, or tradition
    4. [adj] showing or characterized by broad-mindedness; "a broad political stance"; "generous and broad sympathies"; "a liberal newspaper"; "tolerant of his opponent's opinions"
    5. [adj] not literal; "a loose interpretation of what she had been told"; "a free translation of the poem"
    6. [adj] given or giving freely; "was a big tipper"; "the bounteous goodness of God"; "bountiful compliments"; "a freehanded host"; "a handsome allowance"; "Saturday's child is loving and giving"; "a liberal backer of the arts"; "a munificent gift"; "her fond and openhanded grandfather"
    7. [adj] having political or social views favoring reform and progress

    1,3 and 4 anyway

    On a different note: Gerrard and Morientes = Champions League final

    By Blogger dav, at 1/16/2005 02:25:00 PM  

  • *ideologies

    By Blogger dav, at 1/16/2005 02:28:00 PM  

  • you forgot about when cisse and alonso come back... the kop are gonna shine again baby

    By Blogger injinuity, at 1/16/2005 09:05:00 PM  

  • I dont think nature chooses and strikes. Indonesia sits on the ring of fire hence has always been affected by lot of seisemic activity. Even the western USA including states like Alaska & California, has been prone to such disasters. The only difference is that countires like USA have better infrastructure & technology for disaster management.I think Walter Malthus only meant that natural calmamities reduce numbers but doesnt neccessarily imply that mother nature picks to work according to the world numbers.That thought is inhuman & insensitive.I agree with Dav that more than the country's economy, the worrying factor here is loss of livelihood for thousands.I believe,there will come a time when we will all be called citizens of the planet and we all will work for better disaster management together as one planet.

    By Blogger wookie, at 1/17/2005 08:07:00 AM  

  • Hello Wookie,

    My heart agrees with you but my mind says that once the economy picks up in totality, the livelihood off the people will be restored.

    By Blogger injinuity, at 1/18/2005 03:20:00 AM  

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